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Guys, thanks for the replies, the discussion's really helped.
First off, you've pointed me in the right direction for much cheaper prices
On balance, I've decided the 55-300VR would be the best buy for me, though I'm going to hold off buying for the moment. Please let me know if there are any howlers in my thinking (obviously on the more objective points):
- why not just up the ISO on a non-VR lens? At 300mm I suspect it would take f/5.6 (i.e. wide open on these lenses) and ISO 800 to get a hand-holding shutter speed in many situations. This presents possible depth-of-field issues. I wouldn't want to go above ISO 800 on a D50. I don't know if the newer (non-pro) models are better for noise.
- why not just get a faster lens? To be honest, this may not be a bad solution. However, AFAIK, there's nothing with a similar focal length remotely in the same price bracket. Further, if you did want to slow the shutter speed for depth-of-field purposes (any other reason?), you're no better off.
- it seems the 300mm VR is optically superior to the G, especially at 200mm plus. It's not a huge difference (in lens terms!) to pay.
- do I need 300mm? No. Would I regret not having it? Yes. I'll justify the difference over the 200mm in two ways: a) VR(II) vs VR(I) (so what?!); b) I would expect the performance of the 300mm to be better at 200mm than the 200mm, as limits always seem worse and these lenses are so similar. I think I'm correct in saying that the 300mm max. aperture at 200mm is wider than the 200mm lens.
- how about 200mm + teleconverter? Well, it would have to be x2, otherwise I'd just get the 300mm lens. Too expensive.
- what about a non-Nikon alternative? I simply haven't found a stabilised or faster lens for less than the Nikon.
Once again, thanks for the help.
Don't use a teleconverter with those lenses, they will not work well and will cost more than the lens itself.
If you care about quality at 300, look at the tamron 70-300 VC, which is better than the nikon there (similar price).
If you've never used a 300mm before, I'd go out on a limb and say that you won't be using 300 very often. It's not very useful (450mm equivalent) unless you're photographing sports as a consumer.
Go out to a shop and try out a 200mm, then a 300mm and really think about how often you'll use it. The 55-200 is the only kit lens that I've found useful over some of the non kit alternatives, although my 85/1.4 is stopping me from getting one.
Here are some technical reviews of some telephotos under $500ish. Remember that normal usage is usually less demanding.
http://www.photozone.de/nikon--nikkor-aps-c-lens-tests/246-nikkor-af-s-55-200mm-f4-56g-if-ed-dx-vr-review--test-report
http://www.photozone.de/nikon--nikkor-aps-c-lens-tests/250-nikkor-af-s-70-300mm-f45-56-g-if-ed-vr-review--test-report
http://www.photozone.de/canon-eos/592-tamron70300f456vceosapsc
http://www.photozone.de/nikon--nikkor-aps-c-lens-tests/249-nikkor-af-70-300mm-f4-56-d-ed-review--test-report
http://www.photozone.de/canon-eos/326-sigma-af-70-300mm-f4-56-apo-dg-macro-test-report--review
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If you can't take nice pictures with the 70-300G in well lit areas you're doing something very wrong.
For 150$ I think it's a great lens for the price! I highly recommend it.
Once again, it should be noted that the 70-300G has a smoother bokeh than the new 70-300VR.
If you can't take nice pictures with a point and shoot in well lit areas you're doing something wrong.
If that's true (it isn't), avoid the new 70-300VR as well. The bokeh in that is frankly horrible.
Bokeh should be judged not too far behind the subject, not far off in the background. It's like comparing lenses at f/8. Anything will do decently as long as it is long enough.
http://photozone.smugmug.com/photos/819402433_mdifE-O.jpg
http://photozone.smugmug.com/photos/819401143_hNQW3-O.jpg
http://photozone.smugmug.com/photos/819402232_jg3oj-O.jpg
That is good bokeh at 200mm. The background circles do not have rings around them and are not distracting. Close to the focal plane, it is still quite smooth.
Now, a bit about me.
I really really hate how there's no good DX equivalent of a fast 35mm (FX doesn't really have one either
). There's a 24/2.8 and 24/1.4, the first of which is pretty bad and the second is a bit expensive.
Perhaps a wide zoom that touches 24mm is a possibility, but I'm not a fan of killing two birds on the basis that there's always compromise (ie, 24mm end of some wide angles isn't very good and variable aperture zooms would leave me working with f/5.6).
I guess the 16-35/4VR is possibly a great two in one walkaround+wide angle though.
I love VR and I love primes, but sadly the two rarely ever mix. If I get a fullframe, I'll definitely be getting a 105/2.8 macro VR as well as the nikon 50. I actually started photography using a fullframe, with the 35L and 135L available to me, so this is a big annoyance.