I'm a slow-adopter of technology. I don't even have a DVD player yet
. I did have one, but I took it back because it broke, and they didn't stock that model any more. so I got my cash back.
There are so many formats that come and go, without having a significant impact on the market. Despite being technically better, or more suitable to our needs than the products we're currently using, for one reason or another they tend to flop.
The reasons for this?
Greed. Manufacturers price their goods too highly, and the market is starved. for a format to succeed, it needs to be priced aggressively in the first instance. Films need to be half the price of a DVD for the first 18 months of a formats lifetime - this way, the products get a decent foot in the market. Or, at the very least, you should be able to send in your old VHS or DVD and have a copy of the new format for £5 or so.
Backwards compatability. DAT, DCC(which nobody has mentioned yet), MD - they all required a big-shift to use them where we already used the 'outgoing' format - tape. We had tapes in the car, at home, in our bags. The adoption of one format meant one had to purchase a heap of equipment to get the same functionality - and regardless of whether a particular product is better or not, there is no arguing with the wallets of customers. If it's too much, it's too much.
This is where the PC wins - physical media is pretty much dead, despite what is going on with manufacturers today. We've been stung by format nonsense too many times - and we still end up paying top-whack for the formats that have been superceded.
Physical media gets scratched, dropped, broken, left in the sun, stolen, lost, and eaten by the dog. The real future is downloadable - whether it is to your PC, or a set-top-box. Much easier to pay £1 to download a film each time you want to see it, rather than pay £20 for a physical copy that'll end up skipping in 3 years time. And, despite owning it, 15 years later you won't have a player to watch the damned thing.
I can download an album in CD-quality in a few minutes, now I've got fast broadband. Literally, 10 minutes for an uncompressed CD. I can get DVD quality films in 20 minutes, or a pukka DVD rip in well under an hour. Until manufacturers realise that audio/visual entertainment is no longer dependant on actually going to a shop to buy the media, we'll see more than two formats flop, in my opinion.
The future is so bloody simple, and there is no avoiding it. Yet manufacturers insist on bringing out standards that have no chance of success. It's quite saddening.
--Rich