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Originally Posted by Uncle Erik 
I wouldn't pay much attention to historical performance today.
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When it comes to the stock market, it's unwise to make decisions on historical data any day. Too much changes too quickly for anything to be particularly useful for long. The "good" things tend to get ramped up to the point where all hell breaks lose when somethings goes wrong(see: Black-Scholes,CDS's, ABCP etc, etc.)
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| All bets are off for the next couple of years until the mortgage and corporate bond messes fully unwind. That won't happen until late 2012 and early 2013. I don't know what's going to happen, but it doesn't smell good to me.]My take is that the recent rebound in stock prices has more to do with bailout funds taken right back to the casino. |
Amen. However, it can be argued that all regulatory changes will do is serve to foster a new wave of financial innovation. Are we better off repeating essentially the same crash over and over again, or by jumping into murky waters? It's an interesting point for discussion, but it seems, no matter which way it goes,the "average" investor does not win.
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For what it's worth, I'm unloading all of my securities and putting them into real property ( , however, prices are good in some markets because mortgage payments are well below rent, which is how I measure the value of real property), some tangible assets and cash. I've also aggressively paid down debt. The credit cards are zeroed out and my car note will be toast by June or July. |
I'm glad to see people are still finding some good deals out there. The bailouts, while arguably necessary, seem to have created a falsely inflated sense of stability, when the reality is that many of the problems are still there, just in different forms.
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| My take, of course, but I think the markets are full of funny money. I'd rather sit out the next few years with cash and tangible assets. |
Mind if I ask which currency you're holding your cash in?